Sir Nicholas Stern, professor, former world bank economist and now
the Labour Government's chief economist, warns in a new 700 page report
that the financial cost of ignoring climate change could be a permanent
20% reduction in global output.
The report effectively does away with
the argument, in particular favoured by the American government, that
it is too expensive to deal with global warming and climate change.
The Bush administration has been silent on the report, and it is expected
to take some time before it is being officially recognised by the
White House that its environmental policy of the last decade
has been the wrong one.
In strict economical terms, professor Stern
explains that a 20% drop is the equivalent of £3.68 trillion - while
to act quickly would cost only £184bn annually, or just 1% of the
world GDP.
The report has kicked the Labour Government into action.
David Miliband, Labour's Environment Secretary, has written to Gordon
Brown asking him to urgently consider a range of green taxes to be
included in the next budget.
Mr. Miliband's proposal covers a number
of green taxes:
1) Tax increase for high-emission vehicles.
2) Finding
a way of charging road users for the impact of their journeys.
3)
Petrol prices should be kept high, even when the oil price falls.
4) A £5 levy per flight and VAT on flights to EU countries.
5) Encourage
consumers to purchase more energy efficient goods
Environment organisations
welcomed the report. However, many suggested that it did little more
than confirm what had been common knowledge for more than a decade.
Carbon-info.org's Chairman, Flemming Bermann, said that he "welcomed
the report, though it was disappointing that it appeared as if
the politicians only wanted to save the planet if it made financial
sense."
Other key-findings from the Stern report are:
1) World
temperature likely to rise by 2C by 2050
2) World temperature likely
to rise by 5C by 2100
3) Up to 200 million people could become climate
refugees
4) 40% of all species would be faced with extinction by a
2C increase
5) Remedial action will cost 1% of global GDP, but save
£1.32 trillion
6) Governments must use tax to reduce carbon emissions
7) Governments must double investment in low-carbon research
8) The
worst impact of climate change can still be avoided, but any further
delay to act will be costly.